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Global catastrophes and trends : the next fifty years / Vaclav Smil.

By: Cambridge, MA : The MIT Press, c2008Description: xi, 307 p. : ill., maps ; 24 cmContent type:
  • text
Media type:
  • unmediated
Carrier type:
  • volume
ISBN:
  • 9780262195867 (hardcover : alk. paper)
  • 0262195860 (hardcover : alk. paper)
Subject(s): LOC classification:
  • GB5014 .S58 2008
Contents:
1. How (not) to look ahead -- 2. Fatal discontinuities. Natural catastrophes -- Encounters with extraterrestrial objects -- Volcanic mega-eruptions and collapses -- Influenza pandemics -- Violent conflicts -- Transformational wars -- Terrorist attacks -- Imaginable surprises -- 3. Unfolding trends. Energy transitions -- Dominant fuels, enduring prime movers -- Solar (nuclear?) civilization -- New world order -- Europe's place -- Japan's decline -- Islam's choice -- Russia's way -- China's rise -- The United States' retreat -- Place on top -- Dominance and decline -- Globalization and inequality -- 4. Environmental change. Global warming and its consequences -- Rising temperatures -- Ocean's rise, dynamics and composition -- Ecosystems and economies -- Other global changes -- Changing water and nitrogen cycles -- Loss of biodiversity and invasive species -- Antibiotic resistance -- Biosphere's integrity -- 5. Dealing with risk and uncertainty. Relative fears -- Quantifying the odds -- Rational attitudes -- Acting as risk minimizes -- The next 50 years.
Holdings
Item type Current library Call number Copy number Status Date due Barcode Item holds
BOOK BOOK NCAR Library Foothills Lab GB5014 .S58 2008 1 Available 50583010329666
Total holds: 0

Includes bibliographical references (p. [259]-295) and indexes.

1. How (not) to look ahead -- 2. Fatal discontinuities. Natural catastrophes -- Encounters with extraterrestrial objects -- Volcanic mega-eruptions and collapses -- Influenza pandemics -- Violent conflicts -- Transformational wars -- Terrorist attacks -- Imaginable surprises -- 3. Unfolding trends. Energy transitions -- Dominant fuels, enduring prime movers -- Solar (nuclear?) civilization -- New world order -- Europe's place -- Japan's decline -- Islam's choice -- Russia's way -- China's rise -- The United States' retreat -- Place on top -- Dominance and decline -- Globalization and inequality -- 4. Environmental change. Global warming and its consequences -- Rising temperatures -- Ocean's rise, dynamics and composition -- Ecosystems and economies -- Other global changes -- Changing water and nitrogen cycles -- Loss of biodiversity and invasive species -- Antibiotic resistance -- Biosphere's integrity -- 5. Dealing with risk and uncertainty. Relative fears -- Quantifying the odds -- Rational attitudes -- Acting as risk minimizes -- The next 50 years.

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