Normal view MARC view ISBD view

The signal and the noise : why so many predictions--fail but some don't Nate Silver.

By: Silver, Nate, 1978-.
Publisher: New York : Penguin Press, 2012Description: 534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.ISBN: 9781594204111; 159420411X.Subject(s): Forecasting | Forecasting -- Methodology | Forecasting -- History | Bayesian statistical decision theory | Knowledge, Theory of
Contents:
A catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em ... -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.
Summary: Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
Item type Current location Call number Copy number Status Date due Item holds
BOOK BOOK Mesa Lab CB158 .S54 2012 (Browse shelf) 1 Available
Total holds: 0

Includes bibliographical references (p. 459-514) and index.

A catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em ... -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.

Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.

Any questions? Ask a Librarian.

Not finding what you are looking for? Request-It - InterLibrary Loan.