The signal and the noise : why so many predictions--fail but some don't Nate Silver.
New York : Penguin Press, 2012Description: 534 p. : ill. ; 25 cmContent type:- text
- unmediated
- volume
- 9781594204111
- 159420411X
- CB158 .S54 2012
| Item type | Current library | Call number | Copy number | Status | Date due | Barcode | Item holds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BOOK
|
NCAR Library Mesa Lab | CB158 .S54 2012 | 1 | Available | 50583010341638 |
Includes bibliographical references (p. 459-514) and index.
A catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em ... -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.
Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.